Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.028112 0.033518 0.039164 0.045460 0.052248 0.059310 0.067181
2025-11-16 0.018056 0.025349 0.033554 0.043265 0.054269 0.066202 0.079982
2025-11-23 0.011927 0.019891 0.029525 0.041533 0.055689 0.071515 0.090247
2025-11-30 0.008820 0.017276 0.028171 0.042314 0.059473 0.079063 0.102627
2025-12-07 0.006710 0.015459 0.027419 0.043495 0.063461 0.086628 0.114841
2025-12-14 0.005364 0.014404 0.027429 0.045442 0.068223 0.094983 0.127868
2025-12-21 0.003962 0.012908 0.026612 0.046157 0.071345 0.101301 0.138443
2025-12-28 0.003675 0.013235 0.028327 0.050156 0.078524 0.112444 0.154661
2026-01-04 0.002260 0.011048 0.026137 0.048779 0.078824 0.115228 0.160957
2026-01-11 0.001597 0.010120 0.025710 0.049698 0.081971 0.121405 0.171229
2026-01-18 0.001002 0.009040 0.024904 0.049999 0.084254 0.126478 0.180146
2026-01-25 0.000577 0.008111 0.024220 0.050391 0.086599 0.131587 0.189074
2026-02-01 0.000225 0.006993 0.023152 0.050278 0.088409 0.136224 0.197698
2026-02-08 0.000008 0.005379 0.020918 0.048294 0.087645 0.137610 0.202372
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004055 0.018931 0.046510 0.087033 0.139106 0.207120
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003597 0.018653 0.047346 0.089984 0.145105 0.217374
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003290 0.018654 0.048599 0.093499 0.151816 0.228501
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003201 0.019154 0.050661 0.098144 0.159979 0.241426
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002828 0.018882 0.051418 0.100935 0.165747 0.251380
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003240 0.020677 0.055644 0.108650 0.177887 0.269253
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002433 0.019120 0.054189 0.108273 0.179538 0.274085
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002182 0.019013 0.055161 0.111336 0.185639 0.284446
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001841 0.018547 0.055478 0.113439 0.190477 0.293224